新疆东部地区乔木林适宜性评价及其高适宜区生态系统服务权衡与协同分析

    Study on soil erosion sensitivity in cultivated areas of North China Plain

    • 摘要: 为改善新疆东部地区乔木生态环境,提高乔木资源利用价值,本文以2000—2020年为研究期,运用最大熵模型研究32个与气候(气温、降水)、地形、水文、土壤、地质和地表基质特征相关的环境变量对新疆乔木适宜性的影响。在计算出乔木林高适宜区的基础上,选取产水量、土壤保持量和植被净初级生产力三种生态系统服务进行评估及权衡与协同关系研究。结果表明:(1)研究区树木生长状况较好,整体林地适宜性处于较优水平,各等级按照所占面积比例排序为:高适宜性乔木林地(49.47%)>低适宜性乔木林地(36.96%)>非适宜性乔木林地(13.57%)。高适宜主要集中于北部的阿尔泰山高海拔地区、南部的天山高海拔地区、额尔齐斯河和乌伦古河附近。(2)生态系统服务在新疆东部地区表现出明显的空间差异。产水量、土壤保持量和NPP在空间分布上具有相似的特征,受新疆东部地区水源及地形地貌差异影响,新疆东部地区2000—2020年的平均产水量整体偏低,且呈现产水量高值地区集中于西北部的空间分布特点;土壤保持量和NPP空间分布格局整体上从北向南呈现高-低-高的分布状况。(3)研究区生态系统服务具有显著的相关性和聚集效应。各生态系统服务的全局Moran’sI指数均大于0,空间正自相关性较强,Moran’sI散点主要在第一象限,具有高-高值和低-高值聚集效应。从局部空间自相关结果上看,研究区主要呈高-高和低-高聚集,低-低和高-低聚集极少或不存在。各生态系统服务的空间聚集分布格局较为复杂,高-高聚集与低-高聚集交错分布。(4)研究区三种生态系统服务间关系在研究期内基本稳定,产水量、土壤保持、NPP各项服务功能之间主要以协同关系为主,但是在空间表现上,权衡协同关系表现出明显的空间异质性。各生态系统服务之间权衡协同关系极其相似,在全域呈现出以协同关系占多数,权衡与协同关系交错分布,权衡关系与协同关系穿插分布于北部额尔齐斯河和乌伦古河地区以及阿尔泰山和南部吐鲁番盆地。研究结果可为新疆东部地区土地资源利用提供科学支撑,为林地资源的开发与利用提供参考与建议。

       

      Abstract: In order to improve the ecological environment of arbor in the eastern part of Xinjiang and improve the utilization value of arbor resources, this paper takes 2000-2020 as the research period, and uses the maximum entropy model to study the influence of 32 environmental variables related to climate ( temperature, precipitation ), topography, hydrology, soil, geology and surface matrix characteristics on the suitability of arbor in Xinjiang. On the basis of calculating the high suitable area of arbor forests, three ecosystem services of water yield, soil conservation and NPP were selected to evaluate and study the trade-off and synergy relationship. The results showed that : (1) The growth status of trees in the study area was good, and the overall suitability of forest land was at a better level. The order of each grade according to the proportion of area was : high suitability arbor forest land ( 49.47 % ) > low suitability arbor forest land ( 36.96 % ) > unsuitable arbor forest land ( 13.57 % ). The high suitability is mainly concentrated in the high altitude area of Altay Mountains in the north, the high altitude area of Tianshan Mountains in the south, and the vicinity of Irtysh River and Ulungur River. (2)Ecosystem services showed significant spatial differences in eastern Xinjiang. The water yield, soil conservation and NPP have similar characteristics in spatial distribution. Affected by the differences in water sources and topography in the eastern part of Xinjiang, the average water yield in the eastern part of Xinjiang from 2000 to 2020 is generally low, and the spatial distribution characteristics of high water yield areas are concentrated in the northwest. The spatial distribution pattern of soil conservation and NPP showed a high-low-high distribution from north to south. (3)Ecosystem services in the study area have significant correlation and aggregation effects. The global Moran 's I index of each ecosystem service is greater than 0, and the spatial positive autocorrelation is strong. The Moran 's I scatter is mainly in the first quadrant, with high-high value and low-high value aggregation effects. From the results of local spatial autocorrelation, the study area is mainly high-high and low-high aggregation, low-low and high-low aggregation is rare or non-existent. The spatial aggregation distribution pattern of each ecosystem service is more complex, with high-high aggregation and low-high aggregation staggered distribution. (4) The relationship between the three ecosystem services in the study area was basically stable during the study period. The service functions of water yield, soil conservation and NPP were mainly based on synergy, but in terms of spatial performance, the trade-off synergy showed obvious spatial heterogeneity. The trade-offs and synergies between the various ecosystem services are similar, showing a synergistic relationship in the whole region. The trade-offs and synergies are staggered, and the trade-offs and synergies are interspersed in the northern Irtysh River and the Ulungur River area and the Altai Mountains and the southern Turpan Basin. The research results can provide scientific support for the utilization of land resources in eastern Xinjiang and provide reference and suggestions for the development and utilization of forest land resources.

       

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